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Thursday, 30 May, 2002, 12:00 GMT 13:00 UK
Did Straw waste his time?
Mr Straw has been playing down expectations
The two sides are set on war, the foreign secretary's visit was an empty gesture, a pointless exercise. He should have stayed at home. That's one view at least.
You can't help but think that they, rather than the sneering cynics, have a point. It would be frankly bizarre if a British foreign secretary regarded an international crisis of major proportions as a piffling distraction of little consequence. Like a transport secretary who complained about the smell from the common people on the buses or a home office minister who got lagered up and caused a ruck at the football, he'd be well and truly hung out to dry. Nuclear war The bottom line is that when Mr Straw said with tedious regularity that he had a duty to try to help efforts to ease the tensions over Kashmir, he is unquestionably right.
The prospect of a nuclear war is very real. The foreign secretary arrived back in the UK in the early hours of Thursday. He knew when he flew out to the region on Monday that some would doubt whether his trip was worthwhile. His trip had been given high billing as a peace-making mission, and he was quick to downplay suggestions that an immediate breakthrough was on the cards. Fierce rhetoric There can be a debate about how effective or otherwise Mr Straw's personal style of diplomacy is. He refused to divulge details of his discussions with Pakistan's leader and India's prime minister and that didn't help perceptions of the trip. But he remained upbeat while downplaying expectations, hinting at some minor progress towards bringing the two sides to the negotiating table. Amid all the fierce rhetoric that would certainly be enough to suggest his trip to the region was worthwhile. Behind-the-scenes talks Officials certainly see some signs of hope for the crisis. They detect subtle changes to Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf's approach and a deep-rooted Indian desire to avoid war.
And the role of the US in putting increasing pressure on Pakistan to take more action against cross-border terrorism in Kashmir is being played up. So suggesting, as some have, that south Asia is being treated to a pointless round of visits by a diplomatic second string bearing little more than banalities is a little unkind. More international pressure Any progress, should the diplomatic missions bear fruit, cannot, of course, be credited entirely to Mr Straw. He is part of a much bigger picture of which the US is at the very centre with the UK somewhere on the margins. But all the local journalists I spoke to in New Delhi were agreed that the foreign secretary's visit was helpful at the very least. They would rather see him in their prime minister's house than sitting in Whitehall. And they were unanimous that more international pressure - particularly from the US and the UK - could make a difference to what Islamabad and Delhi do next. Time running out Deepak Dopbhal, a television correspondent with Aaj Ki Baat, a news analysis programme on Star Plus television, said that unless more pressure is piled on Pakistan, India will act.
"We have been receiving foreign dignatories for months now, many people have come and gone, but infiltration (over the line of control in Kashmir) is not stopping," he said. "OK, one more person is coming, but what has happened?" American pressure But T.J. Sree Lal, a reporter with Asianet News, said the foreign secretary's visit succeeded in at least reducing tensions a little. He believes war would set back progress in Asia by 50 years, adding: "So people should keep up the international things - the international community coming to the region is a good thing, Straw coming here is a good thing. "America should be pressured more because they are the people who can do something about Pakistan. "They can make Musharraf do something." 'India has lost touch' For S. Iftikhar Gilani, Delhi bureau chief for the The Kashmir Times newspaper, the task is to build confidence in Indian-controlled Kashmir with a political and economic package to aid the region.
"India has lost touch with people there." In Islamabad, I talked to a man called Ashraf about his fears for his five-year-old daughter, who has just started school. His eyes twinkle with pride when he talks about her. And in Delhi, there was Rakesh, who asks me whether there will be a war and wonders what life will be like for his two baby sons if the dispute explodes into full-scale conflict. Foreign diplomats Mr Straw may not have made great strides, but for Ashraf, Rakesh and many others like them, it matters that he was there. The foreign secretary's view is that it is better to keep the two sides talking - even if it is not to each other. And as one cynical hack put it, at least the visits from a long line of international politicians means neither New Delhi or Islamabad is likely to go to war when the twp city's hotels are full of foreign diplomats.
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See also:
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28 May 02 | UK Politics
28 May 02 | UK Politics
27 May 02 | UK Politics
28 May 02 | UK Politics
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