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Friday, 7 December, 2001, 17:19 GMT
Analysis: Sri Lanka's hopes for unity
![]() The nation is still recovering from the violent election
By the BBC's Frances Harrison in Colombo
The election results in Sri Lanka have been called a mandate for change. The United National Party (UNP) swept most districts but were just four seats short of an outright majority - something that is difficult to achieve under the Sri Lankan electoral system which is roughly based on proportional representation. Another hung parliament means the UNP will have to depend on the Sri Lankan Muslim Congress, which has won five seats, to cobble together a majority in the house. The Muslims proved difficult allies in the last parliament where they supported President Chandrika Kumaratunga's People's Alliance until she removed their leader from the cabinet on the grounds that he had become too demanding. Co-operation The UNP is also likely to have the outside support of the Tamil National Alliance, which has won 15 seats.
Some have interpreted this vote as an indication that the public wants its warring politicians to work together. By voting in a UNP government to work with a People's Alliance president who still has four years to run in office, it is as if the electorate has installed the government of national unity that was being talked about some months ago as a way out of the political crisis then. Analysts say both President Kumaratunga and Ranil Wickramasinghe, the leader of the UNP, are on the liberal side of their respective parties when it comes to the ethnic issue. There is therefore some hope that if they worked together they might be able to reach a consensus on the devolution package that has so far failed to make progress because of bi-partisan rivalry. And a new set of faces negotiating with the Tamil Tiger rebel group has some chance of making progress simply because they are not dogged by the mood of mutual distrust that has built up over the past seven years. President's prerogative But there is another school of thought that says the president has more power than the prime minister under the constitution and is also commander-in-chief of the army.
It is also the president who appoints the next cabinet and it is likely she will be reluctant to appoint senior party men who recently defected from her government hastening its downfall. For their part the opposition had been talking of trying to impeach the president during the crisis that led to these polls and it is not clear if they will pursue that path of confrontation. Bloody election While the voters sit at home - under an island-wide curfew - they will be pondering whether the election results will boost the country's ailing economy.
The Election Commissioner has decided not to go for re-polling after consulting the political parties. But monitoring groups have criticised this decision, saying the commissioner's responsibility is to the people whose mandate was distorted. A European Union monitoring team has called the polls flawed but said they did reflect the public mood for change. Sri Lankans are now hoping that will be a change for the better. |
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